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IMPLEMENTING ARRANGEMENT #14 CONTINUING DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOCAL ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT OF A WARNING DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM PURSUANT TO THE AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE TAIPEI ECONOMIC AND CULTURAL REPRESENTATIVE OFFICE IN THE UNITED STATES


【颁发部门】

【发文字号】

【颁发时间】 1970-08-21

【实施时间】

【效力属性】


1 Aritcle I - Scope ───────── This Implementing Arrangement describes the scientific and tech-nical activities to be undertaken by the American Institute inTaiwan (AIT), through its designated representative, the Foreca-st Systems Laboratory (FSL) of the National Oceanic and Atmosph-eric Administration (NOAA), United States Department of Commerce. It provides for continuing devlopment of the forecast systembeing developed by the Joint Forecast Systems Project. This pro-ject is a cooperative effort between AIT's designated represent-ative, NOAA/FSL, and the Central Weather Bureau (CWB), the desi-gnated representative of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Repre-sentative Office in the United States (TECRO). Article Ⅱ-Authorities ─────────── The activities described in this Implementing Arrangement willbe carried our under the general terms and conditions establish-ed by the Agreement Between the America Institute in Taiwan andthe Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the U-nited States for Technical Cooperation in Meteorology and Forec-ast Systems Development, and any subsequent revision as agreedto by the parties. This Implementing Arrangement is the fourtee-nth such arrangement under a succession of umbrella agreementsbetween TECRO and AIT. NOAA has authority to participate in the meteorology and foreca-st system development project with AIT under: A 15 U.S.C. §§1525-1526, the DOC Joint Project Authority, whi-ch provides the DOC may enter into joint projects with nonpro-fit, research, or public organizations on matters of mutual i-nterest, the cost of which is equitably apportined; B 22 U.S.C. §3301 et seq., the Taiwan Relation Act of April 10,1979, Public Law 96-8 which authorizes agencies of the UnitedStates Government to perform services for, and to accept fundsin payment from AIT; C 15 U.S.C. §313, the Weather Service Organic Act, which autho-rizes the Secretary to perform meteorological services; D 49 U.S.C. §44720(b), the Federal Aviation Act, which authori-zes the Department of Commerce to promeote safety and efficie-ncy in air navigation; and E An agreement between AIT and the Taipei Economic and CulturalRepresentative Office in the United States (TECRO), which aut-horizes AIT to provide technical assistance from a designatedegency to an agency designated by TECRO. AIT has designated N-OAA to provide technical assistance in meteorology and foreca-st systems development. TECRO has designated the Central Weat-her Bureau (CWB) of Taiwam to receive such technical assistan-ce. This Implementing Arrangement is hereby attached to that Agreem-ent and becomes part of the Agreement. Article Ⅲ- Services ────────── During the period of Implementing Arrangement #14 the FSL-CWB j-oint team will focus on four ongoing tasks. The four ongoing ta-sks are: 1) the Local Analysis and Predicition System (LAPS), w-hich performs high - resolution analyses and provides short - r-ange forecasts of the weather using both locally and centrallyavailable meteorological observations, 2) the development of aWarning Decision Support System (WDSS), 3 ) the continuation ofenhancing CWB's current forecast workstation, and 4) continuinginteration on earlier cooperative projects. These cooperative a-ctivities, described in more detail in the Statement of Work, w-ill include the following four tasks: Task #1 - Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) ─────────────────────────── FSL and CWB have developed baiic LAPS analysis capability at CWBduring Implementing Arrangement #13. For Implementing Arrangeme-nt #14, FSL will continue working on the analysis of remorte se-nsing data and start the prediciton part of the LAPS. FSL willapply the "hot start" technique using the balanced LAPS abalysison a forecast model for a Taiwan LAPS domain. FSL also will pro-vide LAPS training and technical support during the running ofLAPS at CWB. Task #2 Warning Decision Support System (WDSS) ─────────────────────── NSSL will lead the effort of the development of a warning decis-ion support system for CWB. The WDSS consists of four components:1) data integration and 3 - D mosaics, 2) quantitative precipi-tion estimation, 3) basin delineation, and 4) distributive hydr-ological model. During IA #14, NSSL will focus on implementing an intial WDSS a-nd Qflow system. It consists of rapid prototyping and developme-nt of the Qflow system. The QPE-SUMS (Quantitative PreciptationEstimation and Segregation Using Multiple Sensors) precipitation estimates will be input to the model and basin hy-drographs simulation. This test will identify real-time simulat-ion issues and operational needs. The real-time model testing,basin calibration, distributed flood level criteria development,and operational implementation will follow over the next threeyears. Task #3 forecast Assistant System ───────────────── FSL and CWB will continue to enchance CWB's current forecast wo-rkstation, the Weather Integration and Nowcasing System (WINS)to take the advantage of AWIPS' evolution path. FSL will supportupgrading WINS Ⅱ with AWIPS 5.2 Linux and provide the necessarytraining. FSL and CWB will also integrate the GIS terrain database whichwill be available as part of Task #2. The important GIS backgro-und map display will provide forecasters with another dimensionof viewing capability by combining the weather data with map ba-ckgrounds, watersheds and impact features. FSL and CWB will integrate the outputs from QPE-SUMS as part ofWINS Ⅱ system. This is an initial SCAN (System for ConvectiviAnalysis and Nowcating) related work. SCAN is an integrated sui-te of applications which detects, analyzes and monitors convent-ion and generates short-term probabilistic forecast and warningguidance for severe weather and flash flood. For example, FFMPis the Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction component of SCAN,which is provided by the current AWIPS (Build 5.1.2) workstation. FSL will continue to provide training of CWB forecasters on theuse of the AWIPS system including LAPS products, new features ofAWIPS 5.2, and the GFE (Graphical Forecast Editor) of the Inter-active Forecast Preparation technique (IFP). FSL will also prov-ide technical support on D3D and GFE software customization toCWB, so that CWB can include these two components as part of WI-NS Ⅱ. Task #4 -Continuting Interaction on Earlier Cooperative Projects──────────────────────────────── Several earlier cooperative tasks have been completed. Technolo-gy has been transferred successfully and is beginning to the us-ed operationally at CWB. FSL's development in these areas conti-nues, and further CWB/FSL interaction is important to keep CWBstaff up-to-date on current developments. This task will allowcontinuing internation at an appropriate level, including new s-oftware releases of the forecast information system including t-he internet-based forecast workstation, data assimilation, fore-caster training, exchange of visits, copying papers and reports,and e-mail interaction. Atricle Ⅳ- Financial Provisions ──────────────── In accordance with the Agreement, NOAA/FSL is undertaking thiswork as the designated representative of AIT. TECRO is requiredto reimburse AIT for all costs incurred by AIT's designated rep-resentative, NOAA/FSL, in association with the project coveredby this Imeplementing Arrangement. AIt will transfer to NOAA/FSLall payments made by TECRO to AIt for costs incured by NOAA/FSLin association with this Implementing Arrangement. Ths total co-st for activities described in this Implementing Arrangement ismutually agreemtn to by U.S. $ 600,000,00. TECRO agrees to tran-sfer fifty percent of the funds to AIt in advance. with the rem-aining fifty percent to the transferred upon completion of theyear's activities. Article Ⅴ- Intellectual Property Considerations ───────────────────────── No intellectual property considerations are expected to arise inconjunction with activities described in this Implementing Arra-ngment. Existing system designs and computer software of the FSLForecast System are in the public domain. Reports, specificatio-ns, and computer software prepared under this Implementing Arra-ngement also will be in the public domain once NOAA and CWB haveapproved them in final form. Atticle Ⅵ- Effective Date, Amendment, and Termination ─────────────────────────── This Implementing Arrangement is effective on the date of the l-ast signature hereto. This Implementing Arrangement may be amen-ded and/or teminated in accordance with the terms of the Agreem-ent. The estimated completion date for the activities describedin this Implementing Arrangement is December 31, 2002. FOR THE TAIPEI ECONOMIC AND FOR THE AMERICAN INSTITUTE INCULTURAL REPRESENTATIVE TAIWAN OFFICE IN THE UNITED STATES ──────────────────────────── Lyushun ShenBarbara Schrage Deputy Representative Deputy managing Director ──────────────────────────── DateDate 1.0-Background and Objectives ─────────────── This Statement of Work addresses tasks that will be undertakenby teh joint team of FSL and CWB personnel in accordance with t-he terms of Implementing Arrangement #14 of the Agreement Betwe-en the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in theUnited States (TECRO) and the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT)for Technical cooperation in Meteorology and Forecast Systems B-evelopmnet, which provides for technical cooperation between TE-CRO's designated representative, the Taiwan Central - Weather D-ureau (CWB) and AIT's designated representative, the U.S Nation-al Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Forecast Systems La-boratory (NOAA/FSL). The two designated representatives coopera-te on the development of meteorology and forecast systems.The WFO-Advanced system currently under develoment at the NOAA'sForecast Systems Laboratory (FSL) in Boulder Colorado has beendeployed as an essential part of AWIPS (Advanced Weather Intern-ative Processing System) for the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS). The WFO-Advanced system development has been a very impor-tant cooperative activity between FSL and CWB. The WFO-Advanced system is a realization of the generic FX-Adva-nced (FSL X-window Advanced) system. Figure 1 illustrates the W-FO-Advanced components: .National and local data feeds .FSL's Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) .Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Segregation Using M-ultiple Sensors (QPE-SUMS) .Gegraphicl Information System (GIS) data .The interactive display system (D2D) .The AWIPS Forecast Preparation System (AFPS) .3-D visualization .Hydrological applications developed the NWS Office of Hydrolo-gy .A component that contains General X applications .Local Data Acquisition and Dissemination System (LDAD) The QPE-SUMS is new component included as part of a new develop-ment of a warning decision support system during Implementing A-rrangement # 14. Four tasks are included in the Statement of Work:1) the Local A-nalysis and Prediction System (LAPS),2) Warning Decision SupportSystem (WDSS), 3) Forecast Assistant System, and 4) continuinginteraction on earlier cooperative projects, such as data assim-ilation for a numerical weather prediction model. ┌─────────────────────────────── │.¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨. │:┌──────┐: │:│Interactive │: │:│Display │: │┌──┐:│(D2D) │: │┌─────┐│LAPS│:└──────┘: ││Central │└──┘:┌───────┐┌──────┐:┌ ││Models│:│3-D ││AFPS│:│ ││and Data│┌──┐:│Visualization │││:│ │└─────┘│QPE-│:└───────┘└──────┘:└ │┌─────┐│SUMS│:┌───────┐┌──────┐: ││Local │└──┘:│Hydrological││General X │: ││Models│:│Applications││Applications│: ││and Data│┌──┐:└───────┘└──────┘: │└─────┘│GIS │.¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¨. ││Data│ │└──┘ └─────────────────────────────── ────────┐ │ │ │ │ │ │ ───────┐│ Dissemination ││ (LDAD)││ ───────┘│ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ ────────┘ Figure 1 WFO-Advanced ────────── Tasks will be undertaken by the FSL-CWB Joint TEAM working at t-he FSL facility in Boulder, Colorado, the NSSL-CWB Joint Teamworking at the NSSL facility in Norman, Oklahoma and by CWB sta-ff at the CWB facility in Taipei, Taiwan, as appropriate. ThisStatement for Work addresses only tasks that will be undertakenby the FSL-CWB Joint Team and the NSSL-CWB Joint Team under theterms of Implementing Arrangement #14 It describes the performa-nce period, deliverables, and resource requirements. 2.0-Task Descriptions ─────────── In tems of the overall program schedule, the following four tas-ks have been identified as being critical during the January 1to December 31,2002, time period. These are listed below, alongwith the proportion of resources that is to be allocated to eachtask. .Task #1 - Local Analysis and Predication System (LAPS)(25 %).Task #2 - Warning Decision Support System (WDSS) (40%) .Task #3 - Forecast Assistant System (30 %) .Task #4 - Continuing interaction on earlier cooperation proje-cts (5 %) These four tasks are described in more detail below. Task #1 - Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) ─────────────────────────── The Local Analysis and Prediction System performs high - resolu-tion analyses and forecasts of the weather using both locally a-nd centrally available observations. LAPS is a resizable, relocatable system that utilizes a wide ra-nge of meteorological data, and near universal UNIX portability.FSL and CWB have developed basic LAPS analysis capability at CWBduring Implementing Arrangement #13. The LAPS analyses includeremote sensing data of narrowband radar, wideband radar the GMSstaellite for both IR data and visible data. Other data such asRAOBs, ACARS and cloud-drift winds were also included in the LA-PS analyses. Providing improvement and refinement to the cloudanalysis are crityical parts of the planned modeling implementa-tion. For Implementing Arrangement #14, FSL will continue working onthe analysis of remote sensing date from satellite and radars a-nd start the prediction part of the LAPS. With the LAPS cloud a-nalysis at CWB there is an opportunity for diabatic initializat-ion using a mesoscale model. Work at FSL with the MM5 model hasdemonstrated the value of starting the model with existing LAPSclouds and precipitation. This initial condition is termed "hotstart" referring to latent heat generating processes present inthe initial condition at model start time. Work in the US has s-hown that the model does not need to spin-up precipitation andtherefore predicts weather more accurately in the first 6 hours.FSL will apply the hot start technique using the balanced LAPSanalysis on a forecast model for a Taiwan LAPS domain. FSL alsowill provide LAPS training, documentation and technical supportduring the running of LAPS at CWB. The following summarizes the schedule and resources required forTask #1. Performance Period: ───────── 1 Complete hot start demonstration (run at FSL)1/1/02-12/30/022 Continue LAPS Ⅱ analysis1/1/02-12/30/023 Provide LAPS user training, and documentation7/1/02-12/30/02Resourfces Required:25 % FSL/CWB Joint Team────────── Deliverables: ─────── 1 Improved clud and precipitation analysis11/30/022 LAPS Ⅱ and MM5 model software with hot start,11/30/02code ported 3 LAPS training materials 11/30/02Tank #2 - Warning decision support System (WDSS) ──────────────────────── NSSL will leas the effort of the development of a warning decis-ion support system for CWB. The WDSS is a suite of devanced alg-oritms and madels that utilize radar and satellite data, integr-ated with other weather sensor data (e.g., rain gauge, lightning, surface data, satellite imagery) to provide hydrological guid-ance in addition to identification of severe weather for shortterm forecasting and warnings. The WDSS consists of four components:1) data integrating and 3-Dmosaics, 2) quantitative precipitation estimation, 3) basin del-ineation, and 4) distrabutive hydrological model. During IA #14, NSSL will focus on implementing an initial WDSSand Qflow system. It consists of rapid prototyping and developm-ent of the Qflow system. The Qflow is a distributive hydrologic-al run-off model using QPE-SUMS results. The QPE-SUMS (Quantita-tive Precipitation Estimation and Segregation Using Multiple Se-nsors) algorithm Utilizes a multi-sensor approach to generate i-mproved precipitation estimates and subsequently the identification ofconditions leading to flash floods. The QPE-SUMS will be inputto the model and basin hydrographs simulation. This test will i-dentify real-time simulation issues and operational needs.The real-time model testing, basin calibration, distributed flo-od level criteria development, and operational implementation w-ill follow over the next three years. The following summarizes the suchedule and reources required forTask #2: Performance Period: ────────── 1 Data integration and 3-D mosaics 1/1/02-12/30/022 Quantitative precipitation estimation1/1/02-12/30/023 Basin Delineation1/1/02-12/30/024 Distributive hydrological model1/1/02-12/30/025 Training for Qflow application 1/1/02-12/30/026 Forecast system design 1/1/02-12/30/027 Model verification 1/1/02-12/30/02Resources Required:40 % NSSL/CWB Joint Team────────── Deliverables: ─────── 1 Initial Qflow model 11/30/022 Initial QPE-SUMS11/30/023 3-D mosaice and radar QC software 11/30/02Task #3 - Forecast Assistant System ────────────────── FSL and CWB will continue to enhance CWB's current forecast wor-kstation, the Weather Integration and Nowcasting System (WINS Ⅱ), to take advantage of AWIPS' evolution path. FSL will supportupgrading WINS Ⅱ with AWIPS 5.2 Linux and provide necessary tr-aining. FSL and CWB will integrate the outputs from QPE-SUMS as part ofthe WINS Ⅱ system. This is an initial SCAN (System for Convect-ive Analysis and Nowcasting) related work. SCAN is an integratedsuite of applications which detects, analyzes and monitors conv-ention and generates short-term probabilistic forecast and warn-ing guidance for severe weather and flash flood. FSL will continue to provide training of CWB forecasters on theuse of the upgraded AWIPS system including LAPS products, new f-eatures of AWIPS 5.2, and the GFE (Graphical Forecast Editor) ofthe Interactive Forecast Preparation technique (IFP). FSL willalso provide technical suppor on D3D and GFE software customiza-tion to CWB so these two components can be included as part ofWINS Ⅱ. The following summarizes the schedule and resources required forTask #3: Performance Period: ────────── 1 Upgrade WINS with AWIPS 5.21/1/02-12/30/022 Integrate QPE-SUMS 1/1/02-12/30/023 Provide D3D and GFE customization support1/1/02-12/30/024 Provide forecaster training of AWIPS including 9/30/02-12/30/02 GFE Pesources Required:30% FSL/CWB Joint Team───────── Deliverables: ────── 1 AWIPS software 11/30/02 2 QPE-SUMS component 11/30/02 3 D3D and GFE software 11/30/02 4 AWIPS/GFE training material11/30/02 Task #4 - Continuing interaction on earlier cooperative projects──────────────────────────────── During the Implementing Arrangement #13 period, several ealiercooperative projects were completed and technology has been tra-nsferred successfully and is being used operationally at CWB. E-xamples of these earlier cooperative projects ate the WFO-Advan-ced workstation and data assimilation. This task will allow. continuing interaction in these mentioned areas at an "appropri-ate" level, plus forecaster training, exchange of short-tem vis-itors, copying parpers and reports, and e-mail interaction. The following summarizes the schedule and resources required forTask #4; Performance Period: ────────── 1 Continuing interaction on earlier cooperative projects 1/1/02-12/30/02Resources Required: 5 % FSL/CWB Joint──────────Team Deliverables: ────── 1 Relevant documents, reports and electoronic(as needed)information 2 3DVAR software 11/30/023 FX-Net software11/30/023.0-Schedule ────── Functions Milestones ────────── 1 Provide LAPS Ⅱ software with hot start model 12/02 2 Provide Qflow model as an initial WDSS12/02 3 Provide update AWIPS software with QPE-SUMS 12/02 4 Provide relevant document and update release of 3DVAR software12/02 Schedule by month ───────── 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 / / / / / / / / / / / / TASKS 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ─────────────── Task 1 (LAPS) ──────────────────────→ ─────── LAP Ⅱ and MM5 with hot start Provide train-────────────→ ing and docum- ent Task 2 (WDSS) ─────── Complete Qflow──────────────────────→ model Provide train-────────────→ ing and docum- ent Task 3 (Forec- ast Assistant system) ─────── Upgrade AWIPS with QPE-SUMS────────────────→ Provide train-────────────→ ing and docum- ent Task 4 (inter-──────────────────────→ action on ear- lier projects) ─────── 4.0 Budget ───── The following are the estimated costs for Implementing Arrangem-ent #14 ┌────┬─────┬────────┬─────┐ │Tasks │Personnel │Travel/Training │Total │ ├────┼─────┼────────┼─────┤ │Task #1 │$130,000│$ 20,000│$150,000│ ├────┼─────┼────────┼─────┤ │Task #2 │$220,000│$ 30,000│$250,000│ ├────┼─────┼────────┼─────┤ │Task #3 │$150,000│$ 20,000│$170,000│ ├────┼─────┼────────┼─────┤ │Task #4 │$ 25,000│$5,000│$ 30,000│ ├────┼─────┼────────┼─────┤ │Total │$525,000│$ 75,000│$600,000│ └────┴─────┴────────┴─────┘ As stated in Implementing Arrangement #14, the funds availablefrom CWB to support the tasks, traveling and meeting expenses d-escribed in this Statement of Work, will be US$ 600,000. All bu-dget figures are estimates. Actual amounts will be accrued forpurposes of fulfilling the financial arrangements described inthe Implementing Arrangement, in accordance with the terms of t-he Agreement. All programs within the Forecast Systems Laboratory use the samebudget procedures, whether they are base-funded programs or ext-ernally-funded programs. Beginning in FY91, a facility charge h-as been applied to all programs to cover management and adminis-trative costs as well as teh use of the FSL facility and all as-sociated equipment and data. FSL staff time is charged at the employee's salary plus the nom-al NOAA benefit, leave, and overhead charges. FSL professionalstaff are primarily in the civil service grade scales of GS-11to GS-14. Contract staff is in equivalent categories. 5.0 CWB Joint Team Assignments at FSL and NSSL ─────────────────────── Several tasks require CWB staff in residence at FSL and NSSL. T-he primary effort of CWB staff at FSL/NSSL during the Implement-ing Arrangement #14 period will be directed toward developing t-he LAPS hot start software and QPE-SUMS. It is important that o-ne or two CWB staff members be available to work at FSL and NSSLfacilities during the period. In addition, two WRA (Warter Reso-urces Agency) staff and one WRA consultant will visit NSSL to s-tudy and investigate the Qflow model. This activity is supportedby a separate WRA budget. Specific assignments will be made tomost efficiently use the available personnel resources. Assignm-ents for the CWB staff members would be as follows: .Development of the LAPS software (at FSL) .Development of the WDSS model (at NSSL).

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